MALDBURY & CO

February 7, 2024

The Resilient Rise of the UAE Luxury Property Market: Insights from 2023

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has once again asserted its global magnetism, attracting investments, businesses, and individuals. Fueled by robust economic growth and effective government strategies, the real estate market in the UAE has experienced a remarkable recovery and growth since the pandemic four years ago.

Key Elements and Figures:

1. Record Sales and Capital Growth: The real estate market in 2023 witnessed an impressive resurgence, marked by record sales, increased capital growth, surging rents, and attractive yields. Residential sales of ready homes in Dubai surged by 27 percent in 2023, building upon a robust 31 percent annual growth in the previous year. Despite expectations of a decline in mortgage market activity due to rising interest rates, mortgage transaction volume defied expectations, increasing by 25 percent annually.
2. Residential Sales and Mortgage Transactions: The surge in residential sales was not limited to ready homes, as off-plan sales experienced a 22 percent increase in 2023. Notably, the mortgage transaction volume in Dubai increased by 25 percent annually, defying predictions of a slowdown.
3. Rental Trends: Rents also experienced an upward trajectory in 2023, with a 16 percent rise for apartments and a 9 percent increase for villas. The average annual rents for 3-bed villas stood at AED 310,000, 4 beds at AED 394,000, and 5-bedroom villas at AED 492,000.
4. Villa Market Dynamics and ValuStrat Price Index: Villas, particularly larger homes, played a pivotal role in propelling the market upwards. The ValuStrat Price Index (VPI) indicated a substantial annual increase of 25 percent in villa capital values. Noteworthy performers in the villa segment were Jumeirah Islands (32.2 percent), Palm Jumeirah (31.9 percent), Dubai Hills Estate (30.6 percent), and Mudon (27.2 percent).
5. Villa Rentals and Price Points: Villa rentals experienced a 9 percent annual increase, with average annual rents for 3-bed villas at AED 310,000, 4 beds at AED 394,000, and 5-bedroom villas at AED 492,000. However, the second half of the year saw insignificant changes, suggesting possible price ceilings in some villa communities.
6. Apartment Market Resurgence: While villas played a dominant role, the apartment market, constituting 85 percent of homes in Dubai, began its recovery process only last year. The VPI for apartment capital values recorded a record annual increase of 15 percent by the end of 2023.
7. Apartment Rent Trends: Apartment rents rose by 16 percent annually for new contracts. Notably, existing tenants also received rental increments, attributed to updates in Dubai’s Real Estate Regulatory Agency (RERA) rental calculator. Average asking rents per annum for various apartment sizes were AED 54,000 for studios, AED 78,000 for 1-bedroom apartments, AED 115,000 for 2-bedroom apartments, and AED 176,000 for 3-bedroom apartments.
8. Prices per Square Foot and Global Comparisons: In terms of prices per square foot, Dubai remains a far more affordable option compared to other global luxury real estate markets. As of December 2023, prime capital values in Dubai average $750 per square foot, presenting a compelling value proposition when jux8. Prices per Square Foot and Global Comparisons: In terms of prices per square foot, Dubai remains a far more affordable option compared to other global luxury real estate markets. As of December 2023, prime capital values in Dubai average $750 per square foot, presenting a compelling value proposition when juxtaposed against higher values in other global cities. For instance, prime capital values reach $3,970 in Hong Kong, $2,560 in New York, $1,550 in Paris, and $1,920 in London.taposed against higher values in other global cities. For instance, prime capital values reach $3,970 in Hong Kong, $2,560 in New York, $1,550 in Paris, and $1,920 in London.
In Conclusion: The UAE luxury property market’s resilience and growth in 2023, underscored by key figures and insights, reaffirm the country’s enduring appeal and commitment to excellence in the real
In Conclusion: The UAE luxury property market’s resilience and growth in 2023, underscored by key figures and insights, reaffirm the country’s enduring appeal and commitment to excellence in the real estate sector. The surge in both residential sales and capital growth, along with notable trends in villas and apartments, positions the UAE as a global leader in luxury living and investment opportunities, all while maintaining a competitive edge in affordability on the international stage. As the UAE continues to attract investors and homeowners with its dynamic market, the outlook for its luxury property sector remains promising for the future.

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